GFWS Verified History

Track Record

Directional Reaction Methodology

GFWS is an opportunity scanner, not an automated execution system. This record measures whether the market traded in the predicted direction after a signal was issued, within a timeframe-specific evaluation window.

The result does not represent an executed portfolio, trading profit, stop-loss performance, or guaranteed future outcome.

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Data period
2 May 2026 – 27 June 2026
Last updated
27 June 2026
Closed windows only
92.76%
Directional Reaction Rate — Closed Windows

269 of 290 fully evaluated GFWS setup windows traded above their signal reference price at least once within the timeframe-specific evaluation window.

Recorded Alerts
695
Unique Setups
338
Correct Reactions So Far
305 / 338
90.24%
Open Evaluation Windows
48
Per Timeframe

Results by Timeframe

Each setup is evaluated using a window appropriate to the timeframe on which the signal was detected.

15M
1 day
Setups
63
Correct so far
60 / 63(95.24%)
Closed window rate
94.64%(53 / 56)
1H
3 days
Setups
157
Correct so far
144 / 157(91.72%)
Closed window rate
91.50%(140 / 153)
4H
10 days
Setups
99
Correct so far
87 / 99(87.88%)
Closed window rate
93.83%(76 / 81)
1D
90 days
Setups
19
Correct so far
14 / 19(73.68%)
Closed window rate
Pending

No 90-day evaluation windows have closed yet.

The 1D row has no closed 90-day evaluation windows yet — the closed window rate is intentionally shown as Pending rather than 0%.

Methodology

How the Directional Reaction Methodology Works

A GFWS signal identifies a potentially significant market situation. It does not prescribe a fixed entry, exit, stop-loss, position size, or holding period.

For a LONG signal, a directional reaction is recorded when the market trades above the signal’s recorded reference price at least once after the signal was issued and before its timeframe-specific evaluation window expires.

15M
1 day
1H
3 days
4H
10 days
1D
90 days
  1. 1
    Exact signal timestamp

    Only market movement after the recorded signal timestamp is evaluated.

  2. 2
    One continuing setup

    Repeated alerts from the same continuing market situation are merged into one unique setup.

  3. 3
    First recorded reference price

    The first eligible signal in the continuing setup establishes the reference price.

  4. 4
    Closed versus open windows

    A setup is included in the Closed Window Rate only after its complete evaluation window has elapsed.

  5. 5
    Directional reaction, not executed profit

    The metric measures whether the market reacted in the predicted direction. It does not calculate portfolio profit, transaction costs, slippage, stop-loss execution, or position sizing.

  6. 6
    PREDICTION and PREDICTION+

    PREDICTION+ is a stricter confirmation layer. It must be recorded separately from the original PREDICTION reference price when sufficient data becomes available.

What 92.76% Means

Of the 290 setup windows that had fully elapsed by the audit date, 269 traded above their recorded LONG signal reference price at least once before their evaluation window expired.

What 92.76% Does Not Mean

It is not a simulated portfolio return, executed trade win rate, profit guarantee, recommendation to buy, or proof that every trader could capture the measured market reaction.

Audit

Download the Audit

Download the machine-readable audit containing the published summary, timeframe results, methodology, evaluation windows, and disclosure notes.

Audit version: GFWS-DIRECTIONAL-REACTION-2026-06-27
Important Disclosure

GFWS provides market analytics and identifies potentially relevant market situations. The Track Record measures historical directional market reactions after recorded signals. It does not represent executed trades, an investment portfolio, personalized financial advice, guaranteed profitability, or future performance.

Past market reactions do not guarantee future outcomes. Users remain responsible for their own analysis, timing, execution, position sizing, and risk management.